By James Thompson, Principal, Waste Business Journal; Member, SWEEP Steering Committee

Landfill with bulldozerThe average price to landfill a ton of municipal solid waste (MSW) in the US continues its slow, steady rise to nearly $49 last month. That was up from $48 or 1.5 percent from a year ago. The cost to landfill a ton of construction debris rose nearly 4 percent to $40 this year from about $38 last year, reflecting the rebound in home prices and new construction. The modest rise in pricing for MSW is attributable to modest economic growth but also indicates discipline among waste management firms that are seeking to avoid costly market share wars with one another as had been done in the past.

Waste firms today, by virtue of industry consolidation and clever asset allocation and acquisitions, are more vertically integrated than ever and work hard to move waste from its point of collection to processing and disposal in the most efficient manner possible.

The availability of landfill space is a big factor in determining pricing, which is why pricing varies by more than a factor of two among different regions of the country as shown in the table below. The most important variables determining average tip-fees include: available landfill space, population density, which dictates demand for disposal, economic activity, regulation, available infrastructure and other factors.

Consequently, prices are highest in the Northeast, which has the least landfill space amid high population density. There, the cost to landfill a ton of MSW is currently $78. Contrast that with the Midwest, where the cost is closer to the national average at $48. The difference in pricing between these regions explains why much of the Northeast’s wastes are exported to Pennsylvania, Virginia, Ohio and other more rural nearby states. This volume from the Northeast, in turn, drives up the pricing in the Midwest. Further away in the Southeast, it’s even cheaper to dump: $41 per ton of MSW. The Western states, with so much space available amid relatively lower population density, has the lowest cost to landfill a ton of MSW at $35. The cost to landfill in the Pacific states is around $57, primarily due to both population and greater regulation, which limits landfill space and mandates greater diversion and recycling.

 

Cost to Landfill a Ton of MSW by Year and Region

Region 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2010-2016 Average Annual Growth
Northeast $69.0 $69.3 $72.9 $74.9 $76.1 $77.0 $77.8 2.0%
Southeast $38.1 $38.2 $39.3 $39.8 $40.2 $40.4 $40.9 1.2%
Midwest $44.0 $44.0 $45.9 $46.2 $47.2 $47.6 $48.4 1.6%
Western $30.3 $30.4 $33.3 $34.0 $34.4 $34.4 $34.8 2.4%
Pacific $50.5 $51.8 $54.0 $55.3 $56.7 $56.8 $57.2 2.1%
Entire US $43.3 $43.5 $45.9 $46.8 $47.6 $48.1 $48.8 2.0%

 

Annual Growth Rate 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 AARG
Northeast 0.4% 5.2% 2.7% 1.6% 1.2% 1.0% 2.0%
Southeast 0.3% 2.9% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 1.2% 1.2%
Midwest 0.0% 4.3% 0.7% 2.2% 0.8% 1.7% 1.6%
Western 0.3% 9.5% 2.1% 1.2% 0.0% 1.2% 2.4%
Pacific 2.6% 4.2% 2.4% 2.5% 0.2% 0.7% 2.1%
Entire US 0.5% 5.5% 2.0% 1.7% 1.1% 1.5%

2.0%

 

Northeast Midwest
Connecticut CT New Jersey NJ Illinois IL Missouri MO
Delaware DE New York NY Indiana IN Nebraska NE
Maine ME Pennsylvania PA Iowa IA North Dakota ND
Maryland MD Rhode Island RI Kansas KS Ohio OH
Massachusetts MA Vermont VT Michigan MI South Dakota SD
New Hampshire NH Minnesota MN Wisconsin WI
Southeast Western
Alabama AL Mississippi MS Arizona AZ New Mexico NM
Arkansas AR North Carolina NC Colorado CO Oklahoma OK
District of Columbia DC South Carolina SC Idaho ID Texas TX
Florida FL Tennessee TN Montana MT Utah UT
Georgia GA Virginia VA Nevada NV Wyoming WY
Kentucky KY West Virginia WV
Louisiana LA
Pacific
Alaska AK Oregon OR
California CA Washington WA
Hawaii HI

 

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